The Jack News sponsored SurveyFever.com weekly tracking study of the Presidential and Senate races will run weekly until the Monday prior to the election.
The Trump momentum continues. Trump/Vance are now leading Harris/Walz in four of the seven targeted swing states according to SurveyFever.com. The remaining states of WI, MI and PA are all within a narrow one-point percentage. If Trump can take the lead in any one of these three remaining targeted swing states, he will surpass the 270 Electoral votes needed for the win.
In the US Senate toss up races there has been a tightening in Ohio. The race is now at a two-point separation. Brown the Democrat continue the leads by 2 points over Moreno the Republican candidate, however the Republican is gaining ground. If the Republicans can capture one or two of the toss up Senate seats, they will be able to gain a majority control of the US Senate. Republicans are currently leading in the SurveyFever.com polls in both Montana and West Virginia Senate races.
| State | Results | Net Result | Change From Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | Harris 46% Trump 49% | Trump +3 | Harris +0.5 Trump +0 |
| GA | Harris 46% Trump 49% | Trump +3 | Harris +1 Trump +0 |
| MI | Harris 48.5% Trump 48% | Harris +0.5 | Harris +0.5 Trump +0.5 |
| NV | Harris 46% Trump 48% | Trump +2 | Harris +1 Trump +0 |
| NC | Harris 45% Trump 47% | Trump+2 | Harris +0 Trump +0.5 |
| PA | Harris 48% Trump 47.5% | Harris +0.5 | Harris +0 Trump +0.5 |
| WI | Harris 48% Trump 47.5% | Harris +0.5 | Harris +0 Trump +0.5 |
| State | Results | Net Result | Change From Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | Gallego 50% Lake 41% | Gallego +9 | Gallego +0 Lake -2 |
| MI | Slotkin 48% Rogers 44% | Slotkin +4 | Slotkin +0 Rogers +2.5 |
| MT | Tester 43% Sheehy 50% | Sheehy +7 | Tester -1 Sheehy +1 |
| NV | Rosen 49% Brown 40% | Rosen +9 | Rosen +1 Brown +1 |
| OH | Brown 47% Moreno 45% | Brown +2 | Brown -0.5 Moreno +0 |
| PA | Casey 49% McCormick 45% | Casey +4 | Casey +0 McCormick +1 |
| WV | Manchin 41% Justice 49% | Justice +8 | Machin +1 Justice +0 |
| WI | Baldwin 49% Hovde 44.5% | Baldwin +4.5 | Baldwin +0 Hovde +0.5 |
Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.
These polls are being sponsored by jacknews.net in connection with surveyfever.com.
Additional information available at www.surveyfever.com/public-reports
Started in 2016, the Jack News provides a pragmatic look at political discussion with some satire. An independent journalistic endeavor, we have no ties to other media outlets or services. We write our own commentary and form our own opinions.
Use the contact information below, or use the form and we will be in touch as soon as possible. Let us know if you are interested in advertising on the Jack News.
Subscribe to receive our latest blog posts directly in your inbox!
