The Jack News sponsored SurveyFever.com weekly tracking study of the Presidential and Senate races will run weekly until the Monday prior to the election.
The Trump momentum continues to close the gap on the swing states. Trump/Vance are now leading Harris/Walz in five of the seven targeted swing states according to SurveyFever.com. The remaining states of MI and PA are both tied at 48 all. Trump has now taken the lead and is in position to surpass the 270 Electoral votes needed for the win. We have watched a steady movement of support by Trump each week of the tracking study.
In the US Senate toss-up races, there has been a tightening in Ohio. The race is now at a one-point separation. Brown the Democrat continues the lead over Moreno the Republican candidate, however the Republican is gaining ground. If the Republicans can capture one or two of the toss-up Senate seats, they will be able to gain a majority control of the US Senate. Republicans are currently leading in the SurveyFever.com polls in both the Montana and West Virginia Senate races.
These polls are being sponsored by JackNews.net in connection with SurveyFever.com.
Additional Information available at www.SurveyFever.com/Public-Reports
Presidential Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Harris 46%
Trump 49%
Trump +3
Harris +0
Trump +0
GA
Harris 46%
Trump 49.5%
Trump +3.5
Harris +0
Trump +0.5
MI
Harris 48%
Trump 48%
Even
Harris -0.5
Trump +0
NV
Harris 47%
Trump 49%
Trump +2
Harris +1
Trump +1
NC
Harris 47%
Trump 48%
Trump+1
Harris +2
Trump +1
PA
Harris 48%
Trump 48%
Even
Harris +0
Trump +0.5
WI
Harris 47.5%
Trump 48%
Trump +0.5
Harris -0.5
Trump +0.5
Senate Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Gallego 50%
Lake 44%
Gallego +6
Gallego +0
Lake +3
MI
Slotkin 48%
Rogers 44.5%
Slotkin +3.5
Slotkin +0
Rogers +0.5
MT
Tester 45%
Sheehy 50%
Sheehy +5
Tester +2
Sheehy +0
NV
Rosen 48%
Brown 40%
Rosen +8
Rosen -1
Brown +0
OH
Brown 47%
Moreno 46%
Brown +1
Brown +0
Moreno +1
PA
Casey 49%
McCormick 45.5%
Casey +3.5
Casey +0
McCormick +0.5
WV
Manchin 40%
Justice 50%
Justice +10
Machin -1
Justice +1
WI
Baldwin 49%
Hovde 47%
Baldwin +2
Baldwin +0
Hovde +2.5
Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.
Started in 2016, the Jack News provides a pragmatic look at political discussion with some satire. An independent journalistic endeavor, we have no ties to other media outlets or services. We write our own commentary and form our own opinions.
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