March 22, 2025
March 22, 2025

Public Reports

Public Reports

Jacky Rosen. Senate Democrats, CC BY 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

      Donald Trump’s momentum continues during the fourth week of the Jack News sponsored SurveyFever.com tracking study. Trump is leading in two of the six targeted swing states, Arizona and Georgia. Harris leads in the other four targeted swing states. Although Harris’s lead is within the margin of error in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

      Republican Senate candidates have increased their leads in Montana and West Virginia. Winning those two states could upset the majority balance to favor the Republicans in the Senate.

Presidential Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZHarris 46%
Trump 47%
Trump +1Harris -1
Trump +1
GAHarris 45%
Trump 47%
Trump +2Harris +0
Trump +1
MIHarris 47%
Trump 46%
Harris +1Harris +0
Trump +1
NCHarris 48%
Trump 43%
Harris +5Harris +1
Trump +0
PAHarris 48%
Trump 45%
Harris +3Harris +0.5
Trump +0
WIHarris 48%
Trump 46%
Harris +2Harris +0.5
Trump +0

Senate Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZGallego 48%
Lake 42%
Gallego +6Gallego +0
Lake +2
MISlotkin 45%
Rogers 39%
Slotkin +6Slotkin +0
Rogers +0
MTTester 45%
Sheehy 48%
Sheehy +3Tester +2
Sheehy +2
NVRosen 47%
Brown 38%
Rosen +9Rosen +1
Brown +0
OHBrown 48.5%
Moreno 42.5%
Brown +6Brown -0.5
Moreno +0.5
PACasey 47%
McCormick 42%
Casey +5Casey +0
McCormick +1
WVManchin 37%
Justice 49%
Justice +12Machin +1
Justice +3
WIBaldwin 49%
Hovde 43%
Baldwin +6Baldwin +0
Hovde +0

Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.

These polls are being sponsored by jacknews.net in connection with surveyfever.com.

Additional information available at www.surveyfever.com/public-reports

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