The Jack News sponsored SurveyFever.com weekly tracking study of the Presidential and Senate races will run weekly until the Monday prior to the election.
The Trump momentum continues to gain support in the swing states but is slowing down. Trump/Vance now lead Harris/Walz in five of the seven targeted swing states according to SurveyFever.com. The remaining states of MI and WI are virtually tied at 48 all. Trump is now ahead according to the most recent polling in Pennsylvania by 49 to 47.5, a strong movement from last week.
Trump is now in position to gain control of the Electoral College and surpass the 270 Electoral votes needed for the win.
In the US Senate toss-up races, the Ohio Republican continues to gain, and the race is currently a dead heat. The WI and PA Senate race are tied within the margin of error. In both races the Republican has been gaining.
The Republicans look to gain control of the majority in the US Senate.
Presidential Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Harris 46%
Trump 49%
Trump +3
Harris +0
Trump +0
GA
Harris 46.5%
Trump 49%
Trump +2.5
Harris +0.5
Trump -0.5
MI
Harris 48%
Trump 47.5%
Harris +0.5
Harris +0
Trump -0.5
NV
Harris 47%
Trump 48%
Trump +1
Harris +0
Trump -1
NC
Harris 47%
Trump 48.5%
Trump+1.5
Harris +0
Trump +0.5
PA
Harris 47.5%
Trump 49%
Trump +1.5
Harris -0.5
Trump +1
WI
Harris 48%
Trump 48%
Even
Harris +0.5
Trump +0
Senate Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Gallego 50%
Lake 44.5%
Gallego +5.5
Gallego +0
Lake +0.5
MI
Slotkin 48%
Rogers 44.5%
Slotkin +3.5
Slotkin +0
Rogers +0
MT
Tester 44.5%
Sheehy 50%
Sheehy +5.5
Tester -0.5
Sheehy +0
NV
Rosen 48%
Brown 42%
Rosen +6
Rosen +0
Brown +2
OH
Brown 47%
Moreno 46.5%
Brown +0.5
Brown +0
Moreno +0.5
PA
Casey 48%
McCormick 45.5%
Casey +2.5
Casey -1
McCormick +0
WV
Manchin 39%
Justice 50%
Justice +11
Machin -1
Justice +0
WI
Baldwin 49%
Hovde 47.5%
Baldwin +1.5
Baldwin +0
Hovde +0.5
Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.
Started in 2016, the Jack News provides a pragmatic look at political discussion with some satire. An independent journalistic endeavor, we have no ties to other media outlets or services. We write our own commentary and form our own opinions.
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