December 7, 2024
December 7, 2024

Public Reports

Public Reports

White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

The Jack News sponsored SurveyFever.com weekly tracking study of the Presidential and US Senate races will run weekly until the Monday prior to the election. Today will be the last published study for this election cycle. Jack News and SurveyFever.com will continue to provide other tracking studies in the future.

The day before the election is here. Our SurveyFever.com tracking study followed the seven targeted swing states for President and the eight toss-up states in the US Senate. With the final study now completed we are ready to project winners for tomorrow’s races in our weekly tracking studies.

Donald Trump has gained strength each week that we have conducted the studies. That momentum continues. Trump should win the targeted swing states of Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Harris should hold onto Wisconsin. All of the targeted swing states are extremely close. The races in WI, MI and PA which are often referred to as the blue wall, are each within 1 percentage point.

Trump/Vance should now be able to win the Electoral College with 302 votes to Harris/Walz at 236. 270 is required to win.

The US Senate toss-up races are showing a change in the majority control of the US Senate. We are showing the Republicans gaining seats in Montana, West Virginia and Ohio. The Ohio Senate race changed leads just this week in the Republican’s favor. The Republicans look to gain control of the majority in the US Senate.

These polls are being sponsored by JackNews.net in connection with SurveyFever.com.

Presidential Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZHarris 47%
Trump 49%
Trump +2Harris +1
Trump +0
GAHarris 46.5%
Trump 49%
Trump +2.5Harris +0
Trump +0
MIHarris 48%
Trump 49%
Trump +1Harris +0
Trump +1.5
NVHarris 47%
Trump 48.5%
Trump +1.5Harris +0
Trump +0.5
NCHarris 47.5%
Trump 49.5%
Trump +2Harris +0.5
Trump +1
PAHarris 48.5%
Trump 49%
Trump +0.5Harris +1
Trump +0
WIHarris 48%
Trump 47.5%
Harris +0.5Harris +0
Trump -0.5

Senate Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZGallego 50%
Lake 47%
Gallego +3Gallego +0
Lake +2.5
MISlotkin 49%
Rogers 45%
Slotkin +4Slotkin +1
Rogers +0.5
MTTester 46%
Sheehy 50%
Sheehy +4Tester +1.5
Sheehy +0
NVRosen 49%
Brown 43.5%
Rosen +5.5Rosen +1
Brown +1.5
OHBrown 47%
Moreno 47.5%
Moreno+0.5Brown +0
Moreno +1
PACasey 49%
McCormick 46%
Casey +3Casey +1
McCormick +0.5
WVManchin 39%
Justice 53%
Justice +14Machin +0
Justice +3
WIBaldwin 49%
Hovde 47%
Baldwin +2Baldwin +0
Hovde -0.5

Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.

These polls are being sponsored by jacknews.net in connection with surveyfever.com.

Additional information available at www.surveyfever.com/public-reports

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