February 9, 2025
February 9, 2025

Public Reports

Public Reports

Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

      Donald Trump is back on top in Georgia, by one percent, but the larger story is all of the tracked Presidential races are narrowing to within the margin of error, except North Carolina. This shows a slight move in Trump’s direction this last week across the board.

      In our tracked US Senate races there are two states being led by a Republican candidate, West Virgina and Montana. If these two states go Republican in November, that might be enough to change the majority in the US Senate. Where the Democrats currently lead by 51 to 49 for the Republicans.

Presidential Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZHarris 47%
Trump 46%
Harris +1Harris +0
Trump +2
GAHarris 45%
Trump 46%
Trump +1Harris +0
Trump +1
MIHarris 47%
Trump 45%
Harris +2Harris +0.5
Trump +1
NCHarris 47%
Trump 43%
Harris +4Harris +0
Trump +1
PAHarris 47.5%
Trump 45%
Harris +2.5Harris -0.5
Trump +2
WIHarris 47.5%
Trump 46%
Harris +1.5Harris -0.5
Trump +2

Senate Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZGallego 48%
Lake 40%
Gallego +8Gallego +1
Lake +0
MISlotkin 45%
Rogers 39%
Slotkin +6Slotkin +0
Rogers -0.5
MTTester 45%
Sheehy 46%
Sheehy +1Tester +0.5
Sheehy +0
NVRosen 46%
Brown 38%
Rosen +8Rosen +0
Brown +0
OHBrown 49%
Moreno 42%
Brown +7Brown +0
Moreno +1
PACasey 47%
McCormick 41%
Casey +6Casey +1
McCormick +2
WVManchin 36%
Justice 46%
Justice +10Machin -1
Justice -1
WIBaldwin 49%
Hovde 43%
Baldwin +6Baldwin +0.5
Hovde +1

Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.

These polls are being sponsored by jacknews.net in connection with surveyfever.com.

Additional information available at www.surveyfever.com/public-reports

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