Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons
Donald Trump is back on top in Georgia, by one percent, but the larger story is all of the tracked Presidential races are narrowing to within the margin of error, except North Carolina. This shows a slight move in Trump’s direction this last week across the board.
In our tracked US Senate races there are two states being led by a Republican candidate, West Virgina and Montana. If these two states go Republican in November, that might be enough to change the majority in the US Senate. Where the Democrats currently lead by 51 to 49 for the Republicans.
Presidential Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Harris 47%
Trump 46%
Harris +1
Harris +0
Trump +2
GA
Harris 45%
Trump 46%
Trump +1
Harris +0
Trump +1
MI
Harris 47%
Trump 45%
Harris +2
Harris +0.5
Trump +1
NC
Harris 47%
Trump 43%
Harris +4
Harris +0
Trump +1
PA
Harris 47.5%
Trump 45%
Harris +2.5
Harris -0.5
Trump +2
WI
Harris 47.5%
Trump 46%
Harris +1.5
Harris -0.5
Trump +2
Senate Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Gallego 48%
Lake 40%
Gallego +8
Gallego +1
Lake +0
MI
Slotkin 45%
Rogers 39%
Slotkin +6
Slotkin +0
Rogers -0.5
MT
Tester 45%
Sheehy 46%
Sheehy +1
Tester +0.5
Sheehy +0
NV
Rosen 46%
Brown 38%
Rosen +8
Rosen +0
Brown +0
OH
Brown 49%
Moreno 42%
Brown +7
Brown +0
Moreno +1
PA
Casey 47%
McCormick 41%
Casey +6
Casey +1
McCormick +2
WV
Manchin 36%
Justice 46%
Justice +10
Machin -1
Justice -1
WI
Baldwin 49%
Hovde 43%
Baldwin +6
Baldwin +0.5
Hovde +1
Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.
Started in 2016, the Jack News provides a pragmatic look at political discussion with some satire. An independent journalistic endeavor, we have no ties to other media outlets or services. We write our own commentary and form our own opinions.
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