November 12, 2024
November 12, 2024

Public Report

Public Reports

Rep. Tim Sheehy and Ryan Zinke, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

      The second week of the Jack News sponsored tracking study by SurveyFever.com shows some change. The Georgia Presidential race is now neck and neck. Whereas last week Trump was ahead slightly. In all other tracked states Harris maintains the lead.

      In the US Senate race in West Virginia, the Republican has doubled his lead to ten points. Justice leads the Democrat Manchin, 47% to 37%. The Montana Senate race has tightened up as the Republican Sheehy has dropped his lead by a half a point to 46%, with 44.5% for the Democrat Tester. The Democrats continue to lead in the other six tracked Senate states.

Presidential Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZHarris 47%
Trump 44%
Harris +3Harris +0
Trump +1
GAHarris 45%
Trump 45%
EvenHarris +0
Trump +1
MIHarris 46.5%
Trump 44%
Harris +2.5Harris -0.5
Trump +3
NCHarris 47%
Trump 42%
Harris +5Harris +0
Trump +2
PAHarris 48%
Trump 43%
Harris +5Harris +0.5
Trump +1
WIHarris 48%
Trump 44%
Harris +4Harris -0.5
Trump +2

Senate Tracking

StateResultsNet ResultChange From
Previous Week
AZGallego 47%
Lake 40%
Gallego +7Gallego +1
Lake +1
MISlotkin 45%
Rogers 39.5%
Slotkin +5.5Slotkin +0.5
Rogers +0.5
MTTester 44.5%
Sheehy 46%
Sheehy +1.5Tester +0.5
Sheehy +0
NVRosen 46%
Brown 38%
Rosen +8Rosen +2
Brown +1
OHBrown 49%
Moreno 41%
Brown +8Brown +0
Moreno +1
PACasey 46%
McCormick 39%
Casey +7Casey +0
McCormick +1
WVManchin 37%
Justice 47%
Justice +10Machin -2
Justice +3
WIBaldwin 48.5%
Hovde 42%
Baldwin +6.5Baldwin +0
Hovde +0

Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.

These polls are being sponsored by jacknews.net in connection with surveyfever.com.

Additional information available at www.surveyfever.com/public-reports

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