The second week of the Jack News sponsored tracking study by SurveyFever.com shows some change. The Georgia Presidential race is now neck and neck. Whereas last week Trump was ahead slightly. In all other tracked states Harris maintains the lead.
In the US Senate race in West Virginia, the Republican has doubled his lead to ten points. Justice leads the Democrat Manchin, 47% to 37%. The Montana Senate race has tightened up as the Republican Sheehy has dropped his lead by a half a point to 46%, with 44.5% for the Democrat Tester. The Democrats continue to lead in the other six tracked Senate states.
Presidential Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Harris 47%
Trump 44%
Harris +3
Harris +0
Trump +1
GA
Harris 45%
Trump 45%
Even
Harris +0
Trump +1
MI
Harris 46.5%
Trump 44%
Harris +2.5
Harris -0.5
Trump +3
NC
Harris 47%
Trump 42%
Harris +5
Harris +0
Trump +2
PA
Harris 48%
Trump 43%
Harris +5
Harris +0.5
Trump +1
WI
Harris 48%
Trump 44%
Harris +4
Harris -0.5
Trump +2
Senate Tracking
State
Results
Net Result
Change From
Previous Week
AZ
Gallego 47%
Lake 40%
Gallego +7
Gallego +1
Lake +1
MI
Slotkin 45%
Rogers 39.5%
Slotkin +5.5
Slotkin +0.5
Rogers +0.5
MT
Tester 44.5%
Sheehy 46%
Sheehy +1.5
Tester +0.5
Sheehy +0
NV
Rosen 46%
Brown 38%
Rosen +8
Rosen +2
Brown +1
OH
Brown 49%
Moreno 41%
Brown +8
Brown +0
Moreno +1
PA
Casey 46%
McCormick 39%
Casey +7
Casey +0
McCormick +1
WV
Manchin 37%
Justice 47%
Justice +10
Machin -2
Justice +3
WI
Baldwin 48.5%
Hovde 42%
Baldwin +6.5
Baldwin +0
Hovde +0
Tracking Methodology: Survey Fever collects survey data for its publicly released tracking studies using a combination of methods. For each study, one third of the surveys are collected using automated dialing systems, one third utilize online methods and one third utilize live phone interviewers. Sample for the automated and live interview calling is derived from RDD created files. Sample for the online survey portion utilizes interviewer panels. Respondents are qualified by answering as registered voters and answering as likely or highly likely to vote in the upcoming election. Studies are conducted in English. All studies are fielded 3-4 days prior to the date they are released. Studies are balanced by gender, age, political party, ethnicity, congressional district and other factors. Independent and third-party candidate options are included in the questionnaires, but the results are not released in the findings unless a given candidate’s support exceeds 3%. Each study consists of 700 registered voters, with a MOE of 3.7, at a 95% confidence level.
Started in 2016, the Jack News provides a pragmatic look at political discussion with some satire. An independent journalistic endeavor, we have no ties to other media outlets or services. We write our own commentary and form our own opinions.
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